I'm for Magnus 6.5-5.5 it will be close
First game was a draw, second looks drawish right now
Good prep by Magnus, although probably not a line he will go back into i assume, probably just a one-trick line that wont work again
Nepo seems to have a great ability to get himself out of trouble with really creative defense ive seen in a couple of his games
Btw, for whoever is watching the matches. Chess24 has 2 streams on youtube, one is a deep dive with more complicated analysis from Giri and Judit Polgar.
The other one is for general audiences with less technical commentary
Chess.com has Caruana and others covering it on Twitch