How Realistic Will It Be to Expect EV's to Conquer ICE Cars Soon

RockyRaccoon on 07/02/2023 - 20:20
Last edited 07/02/2023 - 20:21

Friends keep telling me that EV's will take over in the next few years. The issue is how long is a few.

I got to thinking and checked on some data. Yep you know from Google, which we all know is 100% accurate. 🤣

That said there is some interesting figures out there. And I roughly rounded the numbers to keep it simple.

Last year world wide around 80 Million cars produced (down on years before). Estimated BEV's produced in 2022 10 Million (Hybrids not in these figures)

Sales of EV's have at least doubled in past year up and doubled the year before that.

Estimated, there are world wide, 1.4 Billion Cars on the road

In Australia the average age of the national car fleet is 10.1 years

Aust June 21 20 Million cars registered 23000 were EV’s

Ignoring general logistics of this occuring, if we say Australia can take even 10% of worlds current production thats 20 years to change over without ever replacing an older EV

Let alone all the other places with populations far greater than ours like our near neighbours, which have a much greater fleet lifespan average.

Is "soon" realistic or are we just dreaming.

Automotive Electric Vehicle

Comments

  • payless69 on 16/02/2023 - 08:48
    -1

    Once the LGBTIIQQQQ+++++ society has eliminated Musk
    the whole world will be safe from warming any further…

  • Euphemistic on 17/02/2023 - 07:23

    Listening to radio yesterday and the talked EV rego in the area. It’s up by 40%, admittedly from a low base. But the interesting thing was there were a handful of EVs on some decidedly rural council areas, single digits but it’s a start. Dungog, upper Hunter, Muswellbrook all got a mention.

    It’s not just major cities and people are recognising that it’s possible to use and EV in ‘the country’.

  • pogichinoy on 21/02/2023 - 11:05

    10-15 years.

    Needs more competition, and larger and better recharging infrastructure.

  • megadeth on 14/09/2023 - 06:32

    Rising petrol/diesel costs and already high labour costs for mechanics are rapidly killing ICE cars. Our cars are due for renewal, we just replaced one with an EV already. IMHO, Tesla MY is the new Toyota Camry. Early adopters have the advantages like no stamp duty, rebates, cheap 8c home charging and no fringe benefit tax (if you lease through employer).

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