The Huge Hidden Cost of Plug in Hybrids (PHEV)

Thought I would share some useful info for fellow ozbargainers.

I have been doing research on PHEV's to see if I can make use of the ATO FBT exception on a novated lease before it gets removed in 2025 (just for PHEV's). I thought PHEV initially made sense as these cars give you a good compromise of electric around town and petrol for longer journeys reducing your fuel cost. They also have the added bonus of more torque at lower speeds.

Because you recharge overnight (assumption), you are essentially are using pure electric for at least 50km every day.

So if you drive 50km a day, that's 365 cycles of the battery a year. It would not be unreasonable to say that after 8 years you probably are getting close to 2000 cycles of the battery (with gaps in your daily drive).

And for the record, if you had a cheap source of electricity you would have saved loads of fuel without giving up range on those long trips.

But here is the catch, you will need to replace that battery. That is a fact.

So I phoned some service departments and found out pricing on replacement batteries. Of course in 8 years time (standard warranty on batteries), these could be a lot more or a lot less.

Mazda CX-60 PHEV p50e - 36k without labour.
Outlander PHEV - 12-15k without labour.
Xtrail e-power (not PHEV but like a PHEV) - 9.5k without labour.
kia sorento PHEV - 15-20k
sante fe HEV (1,6kwH) - $12k without labour

Now this has just cut a huge chunk into the value of your car, with Mazda basically being worth nothing.

Sure you say, you will sell it before the 8 year battery warranty will expire. Well hopefully other buyers will know this information and will price your 2nd hand vehicle accordingly.

BTW EV batteries would cycle a lot less as they obviously have much larger km's on each charge.

Would be interested in other's views!!

As a benchmark, the Toyota HEV (eg camry hybrid) has a 10 year warranty on the battery and costs 3k to replace. Obviously not a PHEV, but close.

Some notes:
* not talking about EV's
* assuming a cycle rate of 2000 - you would need to do your research on this
* I would think battery warranties on EV's like tesla are better (they have capacity monitoring and specify capacity levels as part of their warranty). Not sure with PHEV battery warranties.

12 Nov Edit:
* To be clear, the only facts I have are the cost of the replacement batteries which I researched by phoning the parts department of a few dealers. Only KIA didn't have a price on the battery (now that is convenient), but the guy who helped me said that he had heard that number being thrown around. My only purpose is to share this so that you can take this into account when purchasing a PHEV.
* Another thing I think is fairly clear, but is not a fact, is that a PHEV will cycle the battery more than an EV making the battery degrade quicker.
* My guess on the number of battery cycles and therefore the life of the battery is the weakest point in my post above. I don't know what the cycle count will be nor the variance of that number. Also some commentators question the exact meaning of a cycle which is valid.
* Also a couple of people noted that a battery degrades (reduces range) first failing completely.
* A couple of people assume that a PHEV will just degrade to an ICE if the battery dies. I am not sure this is true. It really depends if the PHEV battery is only used to drive the wheel motors or if it is used in the electronics of the car.

29 Nov Edit:
Some interesting observations:
* The sorento PHEV is priced just under the FBT threshold of ($89,332) for obvious reasons. Compared to Canadian prices Australians pay approximately 20k AUD more for the PHEV. Seems like the government incentive is being soaked up by the manufacturer.
* According to VFACTS, there has been an uptake on EV's (no surprise) but the uptake on PHEV's remains low.

Comments

  • +19

    *yawn*

    You need to stop watching John Cadogan videos. It’s rotting your brain.

    • -8

      You need to stop watching John Cadogan videos. It’s rotting your brain.

      I have no idea who that is, but I find it interesting that rather than discuss the subject matter you attempted to shoot the messenger instead…

      • +2

        If you knew who it was, it would all make sense.

        • -3

          If you knew who it was, it would all make sense.

          Seems like you are also shooting the messenger. Which part of OP's questions do you disagree with?

          • @1st-Amendment:

            Which part of OP's questions do you disagree with?

            You've seen my other replies, PHEV are trash, wouldn't touch one.

            I think you would really like Johns videos, go look them up!

            • -1

              @JimmyF:

              I think you would really like Johns videos

              Once again you target the person and not the topic. It's very telling…

              • +1

                @1st-Amendment: Which you've done in this whole thread, since you've not once challenged his PHEV argument other than to pretend to be outraged about his comments.

                • @Charmoffensive:

                  Which you've done in this whole thread,

                  What have I done? If you want to have a discussion you need to learn to construct coherent sentences…

                  • @1st-Amendment: Read your own comment above mine and then read mine. I didn't think stitching together a reply to the parent comment would be so hard for you.

                    • @Charmoffensive: " I didn't think stitching together a reply to the parent comment would be so hard for you."

                      Neither did I, yet here are struggling with this very concept.

                      I'll ask again, what is it specifically that you think I've done?

                      • @1st-Amendment:

                        Neither did I, yet here are struggling with this very concept.

                        Correction, YOU'RE struggling with this concept. Just read your previous comment and reflect on your own accusation and how you're a hypocrite.

                        I don't know why I'm even bothering to reply to you, you've not really engaged with anyone here in good faith.

                        Sorry, I know you're desperate for social interaction, but I won't reply from here on out.

                        • @Charmoffensive:

                          I don't know why I'm even bothering to reply to you

                          You and me both. Your contribution to this discussion is noted for it's complete lack of a point. Well done.

      • Probably just claiming the 2nd-Amendment.

        • +2

          He should probably spend more time pleading the fifth.

  • +2

    Nothing with batteries and their use is simple math.

    You might want to read this.

    https://www.caranddriver.com/news/a15345397/battery-taxonomy…

    Unfortunately there is a lot more information required as well. Like temperature where the car is used. Eg Toyota use NIMH batteries still in some models because they perform better in colder climates.

    Also where are you getting the 2000 cycles being the life of these batteries. I have read 4000 in some reports

    Not trying to argue the benefits here. Just indicating the "math" you need to use maybe is a little more complex.

    • We’re in the early stages of EVs. It seems the manufacturers are being pleasantly surprised by how well they are doing. After all, I think they recognise that their market isn’t just selling new cars. They need a good used market so the people who want new stuff can sell the old ones for decent coin. It’s part of the reason lots of people upgrade so soon. They ‘realise’ that their $50k car only ‘costs them $20k’ while they own it. Then the buyer of that $30k used car knows they can sell it for $15k etc etc.

  • My wife is going to be up for heaps when she has to change her Range Rover battery!

    • -5

      Your wife? If the money ends up coming out of your pocket, who is paying for it?

    • +5

      It's a Range Rover, the whole car will be a throw away long before the battery is dead.

  • +14

    Take it from someone who owns PHEV at the moment and HAS done a battery replacement for a PHEV.

    Outlander PHEV 2014 model's battery was worth $5k for a 12kwh traction battery. This amount excludes labour and because mine was replaced under warranty due to their excessive degradation (at the time was 80% SOH within 5 years - this reference was then silently removed but we took snapshots), I didn't know how much would the labour cost but I did remember, it took them at least 2-3 days to work it out.

    For the longest time now, what you have discovered is old news to me. You need to have a very solid battery warranty before playing with PHEV/EV fire.

    Replacing the battery should not even be in the equation because by say, 10 years (as mine has), you would have changed cars anyway (I know many of us keeps our car for up to 15 years but Australia's average is 10) but that means your resale value would be f@$ked. PHEV to some extent should be better due to the ICE element of it but I will soon find that out when I am replacing my aging Outlander.

    Tesla used to warrant about 90% (10% degradation) before they silently moved to 70%. In other words, no EV/PHEV manufacturer would guarantee their traction battery against excessive degradation anymore. You are being left to hold the risk.

    That is why I am very hesitant with EV. Very very hesitant. Yes you save $$$ on petrol but the higher premium (eg: Outlander PHEV vs ICE is about $16k) and the resale crush combined with the generally more expensive to maintain an EV/PHEV (mine always $1k every year service) means that unless you are hardcore greenies, it makes no economic sense. This is not to mention if they got greedy and start taxing you on KMs like communist Victoria Govt did.

    • Really useful info. Thanks for the update.

    • +8

      The govts cannot get greedy anymore.

      The High Court has ruled Victoria's EV tax as unconstitutional and invalid on 18 Oct 23.

      A small win for the commoners yay.

      • Let's hope that stays the case. And I am still waiting for my 2 years worth of ZLEV tax refund back.

        • +1

          It is a high court judgement so it will stay the case.

          The Vic govt will have to refund all ZLEV taxpayers accordingly - in what manner I don't know. Otherwise, I anticipate a class action 100%.

          • @seraphy: Given the Victorian state finance outlook, they're likely to propose a payment plan. Say $20 / month until the govenrment has paid off their debt. :)

      • +2

        The govts cannot get greedy anymore.

        Ummmm you got the outcome totally wrong, the High Court ruled Victoria's EV tax as unconstitutional and invalid as states can't 'tax' consumption that occurred in other states which is what was happening when a VIC car left the state. This is what is failed on.

        So this ruling has only blocked the states doing a road usage tax, but the feds…… they are allowed to tax for consumption in any state!

        So you'll be seeing a fed road usage tax coming to plug the miss fuel tax.

        • +1

          I didn't make it clear - I was referring to state govts or rather Victoria in particular.

          Feds imposing new taxes for EVs is another complexity altogether, something which no doubt will be in the headlines.

          Also, it failed because the ZLEV charge is a road-user charge excise, and that falls under the jurisdiction of the Feds.

          • @seraphy:

            I didn't make it clear - I was referring to state govts or rather Victoria in particular.

            Yes states are stuffed. NSW/WA/QLD all had laws ready to go just wanting on trigger points, all back tracking now!

            Feds will have their hand out!

            • @JimmyF: Not stuffed. They just have to rework the tax a little, maybe a flat grid maintenance levie or such.

              • @gromit: The states are stuffed, as this ruling was to say they are not allowed to tax consumption that occurrs in another state. So pretty much puts an end to them trying to tax it unless they can automatically 'track' the usage that only happens in VIC.

                • @JimmyF: They aren't stuffed at all, they just have to tax differently. They know the average amount they were getting prior to this ruling, So they just have to instead of a consumption tax have a flat fee tax for Grid Maintenance for EV's that just happens to match the average amount they would get from each EV or any of a thousand other fees or taxes they can slap on with no issues.

                  • @gromit:

                    They aren't stuffed at all, they just have to tax differently

                    Road usage tax is stuffed unless everyone installs a GPS tracker for the gov so see the location of your car. That is never going to happen. Feds can do it based on your odo though.

                    So they just have to instead of a consumption tax have a flat fee tax for Grid Maintenance for EV's that just happens to match the average amount they would get from each EV or any of a thousand other fees or taxes they can slap on with no issues.

                    Well we are talking about the road usage tax here, but sure they could do that. What will happen is the feds will do a road usage tax and the states will get a cut. Just like the fuel tax today.

                    • @JimmyF: Why are you obsessed with a road usage tax, that is just one method, what they care about is the income not the method. They can do a NON consumption based tax. They aren't stuffed as they have lots of alternatives that will result in the EV owners still paying.

                      • +1

                        @gromit:

                        Why are you obsessed with a road usage tax

                        Because if you cast your eyes up that is the tax we are talking about that was overturned.

                        They can do a NON consumption based tax

                        As above, they can do that if they want to.

    • For the longest time now, what you have discovered is old news to me. You need to have a very solid battery warranty before playing with PHEV/EV fire.

      Battery degradation is a big issue in PHEV due to the deep cycling of the battery on just about every drive. Pure EVs don't have this issue as such a 100km round trip can easily be done without using a 1/4 of the battery in most cases, compared to a PHEV that would be dead flat halfway.

      Tesla used to warrant about 90% (10% degradation) before they silently moved to 70%. In other words, no EV/PHEV manufacturer would guarantee their traction battery against excessive degradation anymore. You are being left to hold the risk.

      I don't think the Tesla battery warranty has ever been 90%. Got any links?

      combined with the generally more expensive to maintain an EV/PHEV (mine always $1k every year service)

      What is this yearly service for EVs you talk about? Tesla has no fixed service schedule. The only maintenance is top up the washer fluid every now and then and maybe the tyres from time to time.

      • "I don't think the Tesla battery warranty has ever been 90%. Got any links?"

        Unfortunately it was in Tesla's old warranty which I couldn't find on the internet (cached) about it. I remember when I enquired about it pre-COVID, it was warranted to degrade no more than 10% over minimum of 3 (or 5 years?) I can't quite remember.

        The next time I enquired again, it now went to 70% / 8 years which was disappointing because even my Outlander (older battery) didn't go below that number after 8 years. It's almost meaningless because of such a large leeway.

        With regard to service, my PHEV costs >$1k per annum to service being older car. Other EVs are cheaper within first 5-8 years before got exponentially more expensive. I don't have a pure EV car but here is a report about it. As a contrast, my other ICE car so far cost me $0 until next year to service lol.

        https://gizmodo.com.au/2023/01/ev-servicing-costs-australia/

        • Unfortunately it was in Tesla's old warranty which I couldn't find on the internet (cached) about it. I remember when I enquired about it pre-COVID, it was warranted to degrade no more than 10% over minimum of 3 (or 5 years?) I can't quite remember.

          It must have been a long time ago, as I couldn't find it when google for it. Hence my question.

          Other EVs are cheaper within first 5-8 years before got exponentially more expensive. I don't have a pure EV car but here is a report about it.

          Get a Tesla, no fixed servicing costs like the other OEMs who are trying to protect the income stream from servicing. The main one is cabin filters which they encourage the end user to replace or they'll come to you and do. You car order the parts online for delivery from Tesla.

          PHEV while great in concept, they do have many hidden costs like servicing and cycling the battery hard on each drive etc. They really do need a much larger battery to make things work better.

          I did the figures when the Volt was released here in Oz and honestly it didn't stack up against a hybrid at the time. Still wished I got it, oh well.

  • +7

    Topping up the battery is not a "cycle".

    • +5

      Added to that, the battery doesn't get to "2000 cycles" and just magically switches off forever…

      • -2

        Only the engineers at the manufacturer know what that number is and they don't share this. I assume it is a distribution on the Mean Time between failures.

        I haven't researched battery technology, but that number does exist for the PHEV car you buy. That number measured in expected life in years will definitely be smaller than the number of an engine (especially a diesel).

        My point is you need to factor it into the costs to make a better realistic decision. 1000-4000 cycles doesn't seem unreasonable as a first guess.

        If you don't factor it in there is a nasty surprise waiting for you at the end.

        • +6

          It is generally X number of cycles until X percentage of capacity, not failure. So after 2000 cycles you may have 80% of original capacity. It doesn't do 2000 cycles and catch fire.

        • +3

          I haven't researched battery technology

          Then go out and do some. But don’t just look at the top google results, there’s a good chance it’ll be misinformation propaganda.

    • No it's a partial cycle, so 10% for 10 days is 1 cycle as far as I understand. So obviously if you don't use your battery you won't be cycling it.

      • +3

        Yes, so in this example, 2000 cycles takes you about 55 years.

      • +1

        But 10% for 10 days isn’t 1 cycle for a battery.

  • +1

    You are assuming you fully deplete the battery every day. I doubt this is the case. The vehicle is probably going to try and stretch the battery out over a longer distance than your daily drive.

    • -2

      PHEV's do the first 50-80km on the battery, so yes I am making the assumption that you will have recharged over 2000 cycles in 8 years which is 250 days of recharging a year. (Roughly number of working days).

      • +1

        oh okay, doesnt that just make a PHEV an EV then with a backup petrol engine?
        Sounds terrible. Would just get an EV at that point.

        • +2

          Spot on. The benefit of the PHEV is that its range is still good in areas with poor charging infrastructure.

          • @ozzieblue: Right lol. After some further research I think I agree. Its basically an EV with a tiny battery. And then if the battery runs out the backup petrol kicks in. Having two drive systems seems like an undesirable "feature" to me. You still got all the servicing worries of a petrol vehicle, and now you have to deal with battery degradation as well. I would have thought because its a low capacity battery it would be cheaper to replace, but given the cost, it seems like a pretty poor value proposition to me.

        • -3

          PHEVs are terrible cars and should be binned.

      • PHEV's do the first 50-80km

        Its wrong to think that the petrol engine works only after battery is depleted. It actually works exactly like normal hybrid except has bigger power so it drives using battery more often. It still uses petrol when needing acceleration like taking over a car or entering highway or climbing up steep hills which are plenty in Australia. If all the roads is flat and you drive calmly at 60 tops then yes

        Knowing this now, does that make your opinion worse or better?

        • +1

          Not true, in PHEV you can drive without using petrol engine at all, for short distances obviously.

  • +4

    But here is the catch, you will need to replace that battery. That is a fact.

    Ok. Where’s the FACTS then that 1. batteries need replacing 2. How long they last and 3. How they’ve actually been used before replacement?

    I see one anecdote above about PHEV battery replacement and the price was a lot less than your figures. I’d the batteries really did cost as much as you state, the. You wouldn’t be able to buy a PHEV for a few thousand premium over a regular model.

  • If you buy an Ev and keep it for 5 - 6 years, wouldn't the depreciation offset any savings you had on fuel ?

    On the other had, if you buy an ICE car now and everyone goes EV in 5 years, you will be screwed on resales as well.

    I want to buy a car in the next year (currently have a 13 yr old car with 196K s) and in this dilemma.

    • +2

      Keep the old car. Save for EV when it dies.

  • +3

    Are you forgetting that battery will be topped up as you drive similar to a hybrid? You may not be fully cycling the battery every day as you have calculated.

    Also a degraded battery in a PHEV is much less of an issue than a degraded battery in a BEV. In a PHEV you can simply keep driving it and just rely on the petrol power train more.

    In 15 years time the PHEV will be a more operational vehicle than a BEV. A cactus battery in a BEV is dead. A cactus battery in a PHEV will still be useable.

    • +4

      Totally agree. The fact that you can get a phev through a novated lease fbt free makes the initial purchase price significantly lower. This is a substantial saving. After 10 years the battery will have degraded sure but you still have a peril engine to give good range.
      For a bev the get the same tax benefit in a novated lease. The thing is after 10 years the range is also very depleted and you can’t change that. The resale will be very low. I feel even lower than a phev for to range issues.
      The above comment about the Mitsubishi outlander phev and the range degradation over time is very common from a lot of owners if you do a read of their Facebook groups.
      To say that the service costs of a bev are significantly
      Lower I don’t agree. There are a bit lower but not significantly. The venting and coolant on Bev still needs to be checked, as does the brakes, tyres, suspension. Most new petrol cars these days need minimal engine work in the first five years. Sure there are some exceptions but there are also some Bev that have problems too.
      The trend in the USA is that Bev sales have stalled and dealers are worried. The party is over. Consumers are realising they are paying a big premium for a bev compared to an equivalent gas powered. Sure there is savings in gas if you have free charging.
      The problem is that electricity costs are climbing a lot faster than petrol costs. Charging a bev at a charging station results in it costing about 5 cents per km to drive your car. My Camry hybrid costs me 10 cents per km in petrol and I never have to plug in. My Camry hybrid is as cheap as some of the cheapest Bev cars you can buy. Plus my battery to replace is extremely affordable and my spare parts are cheap.

  • +2

    My bias at the moment is to stay with PHEV but given BYD and the forthcoming Tesla Model 2 pricing, they are becoming uncompetitive in pricing.

    It's really difficult tbh.

    • Hybrid then? That is the road I went down.

    • +3

      Personally no don’t think PHEV is worth it unless you do less than the EV range daily and can charge each day AND you travel far enough to give the ICE a good run to full temperature for awhile at least every fortnight.

      The lower price of EVs now makes PHEV not worth the extra complexity in most cases.

      • "The lower price of EVs now makes PHEV not worth the extra complexity in most cases."

        Precisely, that's the issue. However, range anxiety is real and having to stop and charge (if the parking spot not being ICED) is a hassle.

        • +4

          Is range anxiety a real thing for current EV owners? Having to stop and charge is just different. Plan your trips better around charging and you’ll be fine.

          • +2

            @Euphemistic: Anxiety is a kind of fear, not an assessment. It doesn't meant they believe they can't charge, just that they worry about it. There are reasons to worry, even if most of the time it'll be alright.

            You don't have to worry about ICE cars because we all know the infrastructure is there. It's reliable. Even if someone is already at the pumps, they'll be gone in a minute. You don't generally have anxiety about not being able to fill up unless you're deep in the bush.

            EV charging is still being rolled out. Sometimes the chargers are broken. Sometimes vandalized. Sometimes all the spots are taken. Sometimes the spots are taken by ICE cars. There is also a baseline anxiety when dealing with technology that is relatively new; this fades with familiarity, but we're still in the early adoption phase. Anxiety is a reaction to this uncertainty. Planning reduces uncertainty, but yeah some people are still going to be anxious.

            • @Minimum chips:

              Anxiety is a kind of fear, not an assessment. It doesn't meant they believe they can't charge, just that they worry about it. There are reasons to worry, even if most of the time it'll be alright.

              My point kinda being that maybe most EV drivers have actually learned you don’t have to worry about range anxiety. Maybe they have worked out there isn’t a significant difference to making sure you don’t run out of petrol. I’ve had actual range anxiety a few times in an ICE with the gauge dropping faster than expected and the next town just a bit far away for comfort.

              Sure, some people are going to be nervous about it, but having heard from a few EV drivers and watching some Facebook groups for EVs I’m questioning wether we’ve actually passed the point were distance between chargers most of the time is not a problem. I’m concerned that it’s a relic of 160km range/8hr charge time vehicles that the media keeps parroting to keep more of us buying ICE cars and supporting fossil fuels.

              • @Euphemistic: It'd be fascinating to study what the sentiment is like, especially compared to a few years ago.

                I'd say it depends on the risk appetite and technical acumen of the individual. Early adopters by nature tend to have at least one of those. The people with serious anxiety about these potential issues still aren't considering or buying EVs at all.

                I think the thing that will do the most to assuage this anxiety for the general public is seeing more fleet, commercial, rental and public transport vehicles that are EVs. It sends the message that the people who assess risk for a living are satisfied they were up to the task.

                It's hard to imagine now but there was a time when Hybrids were new and regarded with some suspicion. Riding a hybrid bus and being able to drive a rental Prius did away with that. From this perspective stupid door handles and novelty controls actually deter adoption.

                • @Minimum chips:

                  I think the thing that will do the most to assuage this anxiety for the general public is seeing more fleet, commercial, rental and public transport vehicles that are EVs. It sends the message that the people who assess risk for a living are satisfied they were up to the task.

                  I think we are probably over the hump for many people. EVs aren’t just for the kooky nerds any more. There’s quite a lot out there when you start looking.

                  As for fleets, not sure that’s a great indicator for general public. EVs for fleets will start off with city vehicles that have a depot for charging, but yes, it’ll indicate that the fleet vehicles can get a days work done on a charge.

                  • @Euphemistic: I was thinking specifically of the electric Amazon fleet they have in the states. Very visible and backed by a large company with a good overall reputation, I would suspect it has had an impact on perception there. Very suitable application for EVs. I think pathology couriers and Taxis are the obvious ones here, I wouldn't expect Auspost to make the switch early.

                    • @Minimum chips: Aust post already run hundreds of those 3 wheel EVs. All sorts of fleets would be looking to save on petrol and diesel.

                      Part of the problem is we don’t have a large range of vehicles available yet, particularly commercial type vehicles like utes, compact hatchbacks and vans. Hopefully fleets will put pressure on manufacturers to bring them in

          • +1

            @Euphemistic: As an EV owner I can say that most charging is done at home with absolutely zero hassle. There is no 'range anxiety', but more of an annoying thought of "will there be a charging spot available when I'm travelling on the highway during school holidays".

            I've done thousands of kms of highway travel and only had to queue a couple of times. Charging infrastructure has more than doubled in the last year and is growing exponentially. In the very near future there will be plenty of charging infrastructure everywhere and petrol stations will go the way of the video store.

            Unlike petrol which is delivered through a small number of depots in each populated area, ultimately EV charging infrastructure will be installed in nearly every home and public chargers will only be needed on the highway.

            • @ronafios: Thanks for providing some insight.

              I sense that many of these ‘massive queues at chargers’ or ‘chargers always broken’ come out of the USA where they seem to have got a decent head start on EV ownership (or Tesla ownership) but that charging infrastructure is poorly implemented because there is less regulation on the electricity grid. Corps installing the cheapest chargers they can get away with and a hundred different operators with no consistency or planning as to locations.

              Yes, Australia has issues with companies trying to make $ from chargers, but I think we are better regulated plus we are lagging a bit so can learn some of the mistakes of others and install more mature tech and more robust solutions.

          • @Euphemistic: When I say "range anxiety", consider this:

            A BYD 3 Extended Range is about 420kms (WLTP) or 480 (NEDC). Neither are "real life" ranges but I have heard WLTP is closer to reality.

            Let's assume 90% accuracy so 378kms per full charge.

            That range decreases:
            1. In winter. My PHEV range is drastically lower in winter than summer due to the battery needing to be warmed to operate optimally. Although I have heard the new technology heat pump will help with that.
            2. When you drive at a speed more than 100kms/hr. Experience from PHEV suggests the moment speed hits 80kms, the range drops exponentially. This is why I don't get much kms when driving on highways. Maybe also due to lack of regen braking.
            3. When you turn on AC (Heat/Cooling). Again, experience suggested a drop of at least 20% in range although maybe not that bad with high range cars (maybe 5-10%)
            4. And battery degrades over time. As I said above, my battery is already at 67% at near 5 years battery life mark. I do hear modern EVs/PHEVs don't suffer from that sharp degradation but it's all in the warranty.

            So a 378kms range can suddenly drop to about 250kms in wintery condition, driving on a highway with heater on which will only gets lower as the time goes.

            You may think "so what" if you drive locally but when you say want to go to Geelong, that range anxiety is real.

            • @burningrage: That’s all well and good, but don’t think you should be throwing PHEV reality up against theoretical EV ownership. I’d be more interested to hear actual facts around EV range from those that own them.

              (Unles I’ve misread and you have personal experience with the range being affected as above).

              Where’s @pegaxs with his real world BYD experience.

            • +1

              @burningrage: And this is why we decided to skip PHEV and gone straight to BEV. Own an Atto 3 for 8 months now:
              1. Real range is 300-320km at 110kmh on highway and 380-420km driving in the city.
              2. Worst consumption in Winter, mind you we are in Sydney so not very cold, was about 7% more than Spring. Summer can gets similar consumption to Winter with AC running full on. Worst non highway driving was 16kWh/100km being stuck in traffic in Winter. Heat pump does work a lot better and most PHEV don't even have them.
              3. LFP battery degrades a lot slower than NMC/NCA. LFP can gets up to 10,000 theoretical cycles compared to your 2,000. Being a much bigger battery it also means a lot slower degradation. For simplicity sake it should degrades at least 25 times slower than your Outlander PHEV, with battery material 5 times slower and the battery is 5 times bigger.

        • However, range anxiety is real and having to stop and charge

          Rather than having to stop and charge refuel?

  • -2

    Disposable cars are coming, 10 years then recycle them. Cheap Chinese cars will mean everyone can afford a new car. We are all winners. Sorry planet.

  • +5

    Hybrids are horrible cars - worst of both words - you're lugging an underpowered fossil engine that needs constant maintenance and refuelling, and you have extra weight and cost of a battery pack (old chemistry, you deep-cycle it regularly b/c of low capacity), and complicated drivetrain. Maintenance cost of hybrids outside of warranty is higher than alternatives.

    EVs have close to zero maintenance cost because of lack of those problems - order of magnitude simpler drivetrain, much bigger liquid-cooled batteries (which means shallower cycling), better BMS increasing longevity, better chemistry (i.e. LFP in the world's best selling car 2023).

    Predictably, ozbargain comments will be full of FUD from people who haven't really owned one.

  • +6

    Seems like these fears are unfounded. Most EV batteries will outlast the cars they are installed in:

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/carltonreid/2022/08/01/electric…

    https://au.pcmag.com/cars-auto/102346/how-long-do-ev-batteri…

    And I very much doubt the electronics in a PHEV will allow that car to abuse the battery in the worst possible way with daily deep cycling. PHEV has an engine to charge the battery while you drive and just like phones will optimise the charging and engine use to maintain battery health.

    And who is doing 60km range every single day just running about town, at low speed in traffic, where the battery would be mostly used? If doing >60km every single day you're probably doing some highway driving at speed and using the engine.

    60km per day is also >20k km per year which is higher than the average of 15k km.

    Seems like OPs whole assumption that PHEV is just an EV with a small battery is misguided. And even if that were the case and your battery health was trash after 10 years of using only the battery for 20k km every year, you'd still have the engine in pristine condition (as it was never used).

    • +3

      That Forbes article is total BS.

      “Almost all of the [electric car] batteries we’ve ever made are still in cars,” said Nissan executive Nic Thomas.

      They may well be if you believe that all batteries are still in their cars which I dont but Old Nissan Leafs only get about 80KM range now. In fact, depleted Nissan leaf batteries are refurbished and used to power the Nissan factory in Melbourne.

      “And we’ve been selling electric cars for 12 years,” he added.

      12 years is well short of a vehicles life time. In 12 years time I'd still be expecting a car to be more or less working the same as new but not without normal maintenance.

      I dont think we will truly see the life expectancy of batteries until we have 20 year old cars floating around.

      "Recurrent found that most drivers were not replacing their batteries even after those warranties expired."

      Probably because they cant afford to.

      There is a Tesla Roadster for sale on car sales that recently increased its price by $50,000 it also mentions it had a battery refresh. I wonder if it has cost the owner around $50k to replace the battery.

      • +3

        Exactly. A lot of the cars they mention haven't even been around 10 years, so we have to assume the life of the car is only 10 years or so. Even the worst ICE vehicles always lasted more than 10 years, so now we're basically talking about disposable cars. Don't bother replacing the battery after 8-10 years, just dump the whole thing and buy a new one! Absolutely looney tunes stuff!

        • +1

          We won’t be dumping these cars any more than we dump 10yo ICE cars. They are lasting longer than we expected. People are willing to buy parts from wrecks to fix stuff of that age too.

          Yes, it’s not gonna be easy to replace a battery pack, but it’s not impossible

          • +1

            @Euphemistic: You say EVs are "lasting longer than we expected". I don't know who the royal "we" is, but it sounds as though you're saying that you ("we") only expected an EV to last a few years, as most EVs on the road today are only a few years old at most. How many 10+ year old Tesla's are on the road in Australia, and still on their first battery? I don't think Tesla's were even sold in Australia 10 years ago, were they?

            • @dcash: There is a 2011 Tesla Roadster for sale on car sales which has had a battery replacement.

    • And even if that were the case and your battery health was trash after 10 years of using only the battery for 20k km every year, you'd still have the engine in pristine condition (as it was never used).

      Unfortunately that is not true for any of the hybrid cars on market. The electric and fossil motors are permanently coupled and if something goes wrong with either of them, the car is immobilised. There's been a whole wide-spread boycot and legal battle with Mitsubishi over the Outlander PHEV because the battery was degrading too quickly and the car's infotainment was lying about it - owners have to short circuit components to reset the BMS, use 3rd party apps through OBD to monitor etc.
      Mitsu, same as all the toyotas, bmw and others, if you get an error in the battery or in any of the drivetrain key components, the car will refuse to drive in order to minimise damage to the drivetrain.

      • Gee, aren’t you ‘anti’ Hybrid!

  • +3

    That is so much rubbish. 2000 cycles isn't a fact. Written just to sites misinformation. PHEVs aren't perfect but that is not going to be their weakness. Batteries are proving to outlast the cars these days. With a PHEV in the example you have used you will only be slow charging at home and will have minimal battery performance loss over years.
    The wise part of a PHEV is having to maintain both systems, which really means still having to do engine and gearbox servicing. They are also heavier which means if you do a lot of country driving and not charging the battery before trips, you'll probably use around the same amount of fuel as a normal car.
    By salary sacrificing with it, you are going to save thousands though, way more than those ridiculous costs you quoted which you will definitely be able to get better prices than if something did happen, which is unlikely.

  • +1

    So you get ultra-cheap commutes for 8 years, then the resale value drops to same as ICE model. Deal.
    I have a deposit a CX-60, and you haven't made rush to the phone to try to cancel the order.

    But you were right to consider the FBT exemption. It's a good deal.

    • I was close to buying a Mazda CX-60 PHEV before I found out Mazda wanted 36k for the battery. For the CX-60 base models, the diesel is 68, while the PHEV is 79 and with FBT benefits it was easy to justify getting the more expensive PHEV for almost the same price as the diesel. The only thing I don't follow in your logic is why anyone would want to purchase a PHEV with a depleted battery at the same price as a 2nd hand diesel which has really good fuel consumption to begin with. This is also assuming the PHEV can work without any juice in the LI battery.

      I can share my CX-60 PHEV dealer offers if you pm me.

  • +1

    I always thought that one cycle is 100% to 0%, and not every time you plug and unplug.

    If the full range on one charge is 400km, then using 50km a day would only represent 12.5% of one cycle. i.e. every 8 days would be one cycle.

    2,000 cycles would equate to about 16,000 days, which is about 44 years. In saying that, I have done zero research so may not know what I'm talking about.

    • OP specifically talking about PHEV with battery range of 50km which is drained before the ICE kicks in every day. Hence the one cycle per day assumption.

      • ah right, completely missed that

      • You could simply turn off EV only mode before the battery drains. Let it top up again and then switch back.

  • PHEV's to see if I can make use of the ATO FBT exception

    I'll give you one better. The FBT exemption runs out in 2026 for PHEVs. Only pure EVs don't have a sunset clause - as of yet.

  • This doesn't really apply to proper evs.

    You aren't going to flatten an ev every day, more like once a week to now we are looking at 50 years until replacement. Additionally, 2000 cycles is low for a LiFePO4 battery which is most common; they are now 5000 - 10000 full cycles. Charging before it is flat will extend this significantly while fast charging frequently will decrease this.

    Really this is an issue with PHEV who end up with all of the issues of both ice and evs being ramped up as a result of the space, cost, and complexity of the system.

  • +1

    I own a 2014 Outlander PHEV that has had a battery replacement, was $14k but done under warranty. It costs me around 7c/km so I save around 10c/km compared to a petrol Outlander based on our mix of driving (3.2L/100km average over 120000km) so it all evens out, but the PHEV feels so much better to drive than the petrol version so take that into consideration.

    For my other car I have seen the internals of my rotary engine multiple times. Its 23c/km in petrol but when you look at the combined totals both cars cost $10/day each to power, maintain, register and insure.

    If you base your usage on the degraded case you will be pleasantly surprised for the life of the car, but if you expect as new range when it's old you are bound to be disappointed. I based my purchase on 30km range and even before my replacement I was still getting above that even driving it hard

    • +1

      So how much are you saving once the battery is out of warranty and you're up for another $14k (which you'd have to assume you will be given the first battery didn't even last the warranty period)?

      • You are only up for 14k if you want as new km from the EV system, the battery is still good even after the warranty period and will continue to save me money unless it has a catastrophic failure. The car still functions as a hybrid even if you don't charge it, so when it degrades to the point I can't be bothered to take the few seconds to plug it in I will still be getting around 7-8L/100km vs a 12-14L/100km of a petrol Outlander in town (tested with a loan car, it felt really awkward to drive vs the smooth PHEV).
        I have MUT3 software so I can see all the battery stats and recalibrate when needed, but if it's a little conservative on the estimated range that just lowers the wear on the battery making it last longer than if it was more accurate

    • +1

      $14k? Wow that's a lot. Mine had an invoice back then for the battery itself at $5k but like you, I had it replaced under warranty so I didn't know the true cost.

      Since I got that car in 2015, my efficiency was 2.2L/100 over 145,000kms (this is real, I logged every single fuel purchase since I bought it). It is only capable to do 27kms maximum and less with AC on or in winter.

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